Uncertainty Estimation in Hourly Photovoltaic AC Power with a Focus on Solar Plane-Of-Array Irradiance
Published:
This poster introduces a methodology to estimate irradiance uncertainties, presented at the EU PVPMC 2024 Workshop.
Uncertainties are estimated at each step of the modeling chain to generate the Plane-Of-Array (POA) irradiance. 95%-confidence intervals are then generated at a hourly granularity with Monte Carlo simulations. The methodology has been validated in multiple weather stations in Europe.